TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various scoring margins in an upcoming soccer match between Fleetwood and Arsenal. It focuses on different thresholds for victories by either team, reflecting potential outcomes based on goal differentials. The event provides insight into expectations surrounding the competitive balance and performance of both teams.
The event covers multiple potential outcomes in the Fleetwood vs Arsenal EFL Cup soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026, each defined by specific goal-differential thresholds. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if Fleetwood wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals—all evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. These rules collectively assess the extent of victory for either side, with varying degrees of margin significance. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks which may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly, potentially offering a different value than traditional betting options. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Fleetwood vs Arsenal match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the market's direction. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a collective assessment of the likely spread in the match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Fleetwood vs Arsenal match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the game, as officially recorded by sports data providers. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly following the completion of the event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Fleetwood or Arsenal would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to player suspensions or off-field issues could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.