TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the Fleetwood Town FC versus Arsenal FC soccer match. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 99.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official match statistics, with potential fallbacks to Flashscore or Sofascore as detailed in the resolution source. In the event of a cancellation without a make-up game, the market will resolve to “Yes” for the draw outcome. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 27, 2026, as the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time will determine resolution.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 between Fleetwood Town FC and Arsenal FC.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Fleetwood vs Arsenal EFL Cup soccer match originally scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Fleetwood market occurs if Fleetwood wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Arsenal occurs if Arsenal secures a victory within the same timeframe. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 between Fleetwood Town FC and Arsenal FC.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differences in trader demographics, market-making activity, and the specific incentives offered on each platform. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to varying interpretations of the available information regarding the Fleetwood Town vs. Arsenal match. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery, causing temporary discrepancies. These differences reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the diverse perspectives of participants.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or changes in coaching staff could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, broader events like weather conditions or referee assignments might be considered by traders. As the match date approaches, any updates from reliable sources will likely be reflected in the market prices. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to new information.