TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Fleetwood Town FC vs Arsenal FC?

Volume:
$7,837,626

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 6:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,134,555
N/A
N/A
$530,582
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC)

100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$10,745
$66,627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fleetwood

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,822,694
N/A
N/A
$1,454,697
Settled
No
polymarket

Fleetwood Town FC

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$437,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

FLE

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$142
$40,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Arsenal

0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,598,342
N/A
N/A
$1,250,068
Settled
No
polymarket

Arsenal FC

0%
89%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$587,524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

ARS

0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$295
$78,674
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the Fleetwood Town FC versus Arsenal FC soccer match. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 99.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official match statistics, with potential fallbacks to Flashscore or Sofascore as detailed in the resolution source. In the event of a cancellation without a make-up game, the market will resolve to “Yes” for the draw outcome. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 27, 2026, as the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time will determine resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Platforms differ in their explicit handling of game cancellations and the priority given to secondary data sources.Hero tip: Be aware of the potential for differing resolutions if the game is canceled. Polymarket provides more specific guidance on this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official statistics with fallbacks. Canceled games resolve 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for Draw markets.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation handling is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 between Fleetwood Town FC and Arsenal FC.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Fleetwood vs Arsenal EFL Cup soccer match originally scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Fleetwood market occurs if Fleetwood wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Arsenal occurs if Arsenal secures a victory within the same timeframe. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 between Fleetwood Town FC and Arsenal FC.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how each is determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective predictions of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as prediction markets benefit from the aggregation of information and the incentive to forecast correctly. However, sportsbooks may offer different markets or prop bets not available here, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two. It’s useful to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differences in trader demographics, market-making activity, and the specific incentives offered on each platform. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to varying interpretations of the available information regarding the Fleetwood Town vs. Arsenal match. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery, causing temporary discrepancies. These differences reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the diverse perspectives of participants.

Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or changes in coaching staff could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, broader events like weather conditions or referee assignments might be considered by traders. As the match date approaches, any updates from reliable sources will likely be reflected in the market prices. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to new information.