TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.9b
24H VOL:
$282,630,871
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,940,490,234
411,303
Markets across
39,945
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,447
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 3, 12:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers multiple markets related to a single NHL game between the Calgary Flames and the San Jose Sharks on November 2nd. Markets include a winner-takes-all prediction and over/under bets on the total number of goals scored.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 2 at 9:00PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 2 at 9:00PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow participants to freely trade and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome of the Flames-Sharks game, and comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed bettors.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Flames-Sharks game. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design—for example, the exact over/under line—may differ slightly between Polymarket and Predict, influencing how traders assess the probabilities. These variations are normal and contribute to the overall market efficiency.