TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Flames vs. Red Wings
Volume:
$1,982,432
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Calgary Flames and Detroit Red Wings scheduled for March 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting, and total goals over/under at multiple thresholds. Resolution depends on final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents four logically redundant markets that all reference the same game but with overlapping YES conditions for both teams. Polymarket offers distinct market types (moneyline, spread, totals) with clear binary or threshold-based outcomes. The platforms are measuring different aspects of the same game.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as separate market ecosystems for this game. Polymarket's moneyline and spread are standard NHL betting products. Kalshi's four markets appear to be outcome-based rather than traditional spread markets—verify with Kalshi whether a single game can trigger YES on multiple markets simultaneously, as the current logic suggests both teams winning by >1.5 goals cannot occur in one game.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four markets all tied to margin-of-victory thresholds (1.5 and 2.5 goals). All resolve YES if either team wins by the specified margin. Logical issue: a single game outcome cannot satisfy both 'Calgary wins by >1.5' AND 'Detroit wins by >1.5' simultaneously. Key Quote: 'If Calgary wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Detroit wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Comprehensive market suite: (1) Moneyline resolves to winning team name (Flames or Red Wings). (2) Spread (Red Wings -1.5) resolves to Red Wings if they win by 2+ goals, else Flames. (3) Four total goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) resolve based on combined team score. All include postponement and cancellation protocols. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Red Wings if the Red Wings win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Flames.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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