TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers multiple markets related to a single NHL game between the Calgary Flames and the Edmonton Oilers on October 28th. Markets include a winner-takes-all prediction and over/under bets on the total number of goals scored.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:30PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:30PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets incorporate a broader range of information and real-time adjustments based on trader activity. This market’s implied probabilities may differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to varying information sources and the incentive structures of each. Generally, prediction markets can be more accurate, especially when there’s significant volume.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Flames-Oilers matchup. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Predict can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the resulting prices. These factors contribute to the possibility of differing probabilities for the same outcome across the two platforms.