TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 1:02 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 15 at 10:00PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 15 at 10:00PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective intelligence of traders. Early in the market lifecycle, sportsbook odds may be more reactive to breaking news, while this market tends to stabilize as more information becomes available and more traders participate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the incentives of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, and traders can adjust their positions based on new information or changing opinions. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final official result of the Flames-Golden Knights game, as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which outcome has the highest probability based on trading activity leading up to the resolution date. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Key player injuries to either the Flames or the Golden Knights would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also impact trading activity. Major news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, any public statements from key players or analysts could influence trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market.