TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Flames vs. Ducks
Volume:
$1,511,661
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 4 at 10:00 PM ET, the Calgary Flames will face the Anaheim Ducks in an NHL matchup. This event group captures both the moneyline outcome (which team wins) and multiple total goals markets (combined scoring thresholds at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 goals). Resolution depends on the final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different threshold interpretations for over/under markets. Kalshi resolves on 'over X.5' (meaning > X.5 goals), while Polymarket resolves on 'over X.5' as >= (X.5 + 0.5) goals, creating a one-goal boundary mismatch at each threshold level.Hero Tip:
If you bet Over 4.5 on Kalshi, you win if 5+ goals are scored. On Polymarket's O/U 4.5, you win if 5+ goals are scored—they align here. However, examine the exact threshold wording carefully: Kalshi's 'over 3.5' means 4+, while Polymarket's 'O/U 4.5' means 5+. This creates a systematic one-goal offset between platforms at corresponding thresholds. Verify your platform's exact resolution rule before placing bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers eight over/under markets at thresholds 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals. Each market resolves YES if the combined total exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 'over 3.5' resolves YES if 4 or more goals are scored). Additionally, Kalshi includes a moneyline market (Flames vs. Ducks) with no explicit description provided. Resolution source is 'Calgary vs Anaheim professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four over/under markets labeled O/U 4.5, O/U 5.5, O/U 6.5, and O/U 7.5, plus a moneyline (Flames vs. Ducks) and a spread (Ducks -1.5). Each over/under resolves to 'Over' if the combined total meets or exceeds the threshold plus one (e.g., 'O/U 4.5' resolves Over if 5 or more goals are scored). All markets reference 'final score including any overtime periods and shootouts' with shootout goals added to the winning team's total. Resolution source is 'https://www.nhl.com/scores.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.