TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Flames vs. Devils
Volume:
$2,003,898
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL matchup between the Calgary Flames and New Jersey Devils scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and a spread bet on the Devils at -1.5 goals. The group tests consistency in game outcome resolution, goal-counting methodology, and edge-case handling across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market omits explicit resolution rules for postponement, cancellation, and shootout goal-counting, while Polymarket provides comprehensive contingency logic across all market types.Hero Tip:
Traders should assume Kalshi follows standard NHL settlement (winner determined by final score), but confirm postponement handling and shootout methodology with Kalshi support before market close. Polymarket's 50-50 cancellation clause and explicit shootout rule (one goal added) are more protective; use Polymarket as the reference standard if discrepancies arise.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline and all Over/Under markets include explicit rules: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no make-up resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winning team's score. Final score includes overtime and shootout. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states resolution to Yes if either team wins the game scheduled for Mar 12, 2026. No explicit contingency rules for postponement, cancellation, or shootout goal-counting provided. Key quote: 'If NJ Devils wins the Calgary at New Jersey professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CGY Flames wins the Calgary at New Jersey professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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