TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Flames vs. Capitals
Volume:
$1,041,984
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL matchup between the Calgary Flames and Washington Capitals scheduled for March 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting, and total goals over/under at multiple thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi define distinct market types for the same game. Polymarket covers totals, moneyline, and spread; Kalshi covers only margin-of-victory binary outcomes. The platforms are not measuring the same settlement value.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets hedge each other. Polymarket's spread (Capitals -1.5) and Kalshi's margin markets (1.5+ and 2.5+) overlap conceptually but have different yes/no logic. A Capitals 2-goal win is Capitals on Polymarket spread but Yes on both Kalshi margin markets. Treat each platform independently and verify your exact position structure before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Offers five distinct market types: moneyline (Flames vs Capitals winner), spread (Capitals -1.5 = Capitals win by 2+), and four total-goals over/unders (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 combined). All resolve based on final score including overtime and shootouts, with one goal added to winning team in shootout scenarios. Source: NHL.com official scores.
- Kalshi: Offers four binary yes/no markets, all based on margin of victory: Calgary wins by 1.5+, Washington wins by 1.5+, Calgary wins by 2.5+, Washington wins by 2.5+. No total-goals markets. No explicit shootout rule provided. Game reference: Calgary at Washington, originally scheduled Mar 9, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.