TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This group covers markets on the outcome of an NHL game between the Calgary Flames and the Colorado Avalanche, scheduled for October 31st. Markets include a simple win/loss outcome and over/under bets on the total number of goals scored. The markets have consistent resolution criteria regarding postponements and cancellations.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 31 at 10:00PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
The event determines the winner of the NHL game between Calgary and Colorado originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Calgary wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and if Colorado wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under altered or unresolved game conditions.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 31 at 10:00PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief with real capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, as traders react instantly to news and events impacting the Flames-Avalanche game.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market design. Polymarket might attract a more sophisticated or informed group of traders, while Predict could have a broader, less experienced audience. Different fee structures and liquidity provisions on each platform can also influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific question framing – Over/Under 4.5 versus Over/Under 5.5 – impacts how traders assess probabilities and contribute to the overall price.