TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Flamengo wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:04h:20m
$
In the Flamengo versus Gremio match, bettors and fans will focus on the point differential as the teams battle for supremacy. The spread markets add an additional layer of analysis, requiring observers to consider both teams' offensive and defensive capabilities.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the Flamengo vs Gremio professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The first two markets require Flamengo to win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, respectively, while the last two require Gremio to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively. If the specified condition is met, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also adjust based on betting action to manage risk. This market, driven by individual traders on Kalshi, can offer a different perspective, potentially identifying mispricings or incorporating information not fully captured by traditional oddsmakers. It’s useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the spread resolves in their favor.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread for the Flamengo vs Gremio match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts payout. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could move this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Flamengo or Gremio would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team dynamics could also influence trading activity. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both teams is crucial for understanding potential market movements.