TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event centers around the Flamengo and Fluminense match in the Brasileiro Serie A, determining if both teams score during the course of the game's regular time, which includes the 90 minutes and any stoppage time added by the referee. It exclusively considers goals scored within these time frames.
If Flamengo and Fluminense both score a goal in the Flamengo vs Fluminense Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows individuals to weigh in with their own insights, leading to price discovery driven by supply and demand. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there’s considerable uncertainty. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember they represent different types of forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Flamengo vs Fluminense match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'Yes' outcome (both teams score). Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down, suggesting a belief that at least one team will fail to score. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Flamengo and Fluminense score at least one goal during the scheduled match. Official match results, as reported by recognized sports authorities, will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted whether both teams would find the back of the net, based on the final scoreline of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Flamengo or Fluminense would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced by the managers could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain, might also affect the likelihood of goals being scored. Finally, even public opinion and betting trends observed elsewhere could contribute to price movements in this market.