TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a major league. The result is determined solely by the standing after the standard playing time, excluding any extended periods. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will be handled according to specific fairness guidelines.
The event resolves based on the result of the Flamengo vs Fluminense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Flamengo wins, the 'Flamengo' market resolves to Yes; if Fluminense wins, the 'Fluminense' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The outcome is strictly based on the result after regular time, with no consideration given to post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome of the Flamengo vs Fluminense match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Flamengo vs Fluminense match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The volume traded at each price point indicates the strength of conviction behind those beliefs.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Flamengo vs Fluminense match, as determined by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this official data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions on either team would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising loss in a prior match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions or major news events related to the teams or players could contribute to price movements. Any information that alters perceptions of the Flamengo vs Fluminense match’s likely outcome has the potential to move this market.