TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the total number of goals scored in a Brazilian Serie A soccer match between Flamengo and Atletico Mineiro. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed thresholds from 0.5 to 5.5, excluding extra time or penalties.
The market resolves based on the total goals scored in the Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for Oct 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each sub-market specifies a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), and the market resolves to Yes if the actual total goals exceed the specified threshold. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the goal count. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise, potentially offering a better value than available elsewhere. It's important to compare the implied probabilities to see where discrepancies exist.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts corresponding to the actual total goals scored will settle at 100, while those representing other outcomes will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Flamengo or Atletico Mineiro would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the expected number of goals scored. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, as well as any shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected tactical decisions by the managers during the match itself could also move this market.