TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a match where only a outright win for either side after regular time determines the outcome. A tie results in a specific resolution, and any significant changes to the match schedule lead to a fair price adjustment.
The market resolves based on the result of the FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Partizan Belgrade professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If FK Zeleznicar Pancevo wins, that market resolves to Yes. If Partizan Belgrade wins, that market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potentially incorporating unique information. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market’s odds are determined by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into where the market believes the true probability lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising prices and increased selling pressure lowering them, ultimately determining the implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the FK Zeleznicar Pancevo versus Partizan Belgrade match in the Serbian SuperLiga. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, updates on weather conditions, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the direction of the market, especially closer to the Oct 18, 2026.