TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AEK
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AEK?

Volume:
$1,213,018

Shakhtar

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 4:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Shakhtar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$437,986
N/A
N/A
$190,366
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FK Shakhtar Donetsk

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$202,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

SHD

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$14,391
$56,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AEK Athens

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225,409
N/A
N/A
$125,004
Settled
No
polymarket

AEK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

AEK1

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$100
$13,669
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159,021
N/A
N/A
$102,416
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AEK)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$70
$14,893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the FK Shakhtar Donetsk versus AEK Athens soccer match, specifically whether FK Shakhtar Donetsk will win on October 14, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of FK Shakhtar Donetsk winning is 99.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on official match statistics, with Flashscore and Sofascore as secondary sources if needed, as defined by the event organizers. Keep an eye on October 14, 2026, as this is the scheduled date for the match and the end of the betting period for this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution criteria for game cancellations. Polymarket resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi resolves them to 'Yes'.Hero tip: Be aware of the differing cancellation rules. Polymarket markets will resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled, while Kalshi markets will resolve to 'Yes'.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
  • Kalshi: If Shakhtar wins, AEK wins, or the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Yes'. This applies to all three markets. The event is the Champions League game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between FK Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Shakhtar vs AEK Athens professional Champions League soccer game scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Shakhtar market occurs if Shakhtar wins the match within this timeframe. Similarly, a 'Yes' for AEK Athens occurs if they secure the victory. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. No outcomes consider results from extra time or penalty shootouts.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between FK Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public interest. It’s useful to compare both to gain a more well-rounded view of potential outcomes.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of outcomes for the Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK match. Trading volume can also play a role; a market with low volume on one platform may be more susceptible to price swings. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery – how traders can place bets and adjust their positions – differ between the platforms, contributing to potential price discrepancies.