TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Draw (FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo)
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
$
This group forecasts the outcome of a Serbian SuperLiga soccer match between FK Radnicki Nis and FK Zeleznicar Pancevo, scheduled for November 2, 2026. Markets ask whether Radnicki Nis will win, Zeleznicar Pancevo will win, or the game will end in a draw.
In the upcoming Serbia SuperLiga game between FK Radnicki Nis and FK Zeleznicar Pancevo, originally scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
The event involves three possible outcomes for the Radnicki Nis vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match scheduled for November 2, 2026: a win for Radnicki Nis, a win for FK Zeleznicar Pancevo, or a tie. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will be resolved at a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms driving each. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders. This market's odds reflect what participants believe is the probability of each outcome, potentially revealing information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can stem from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design and available trading features on each platform can influence how traders behave. For example, differing fee structures or liquidity provisions might lead to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket shows 97.5% for Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?, while Kalshi indicates 41.0% for FK Zeleznicar Pancevo wins.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo match in the Serbian SuperLiga. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and reliable sources to ensure accuracy. Traders should monitor official league standings and match reports as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team management for FK Radnicki Nis or FK Zeleznicar Pancevo would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant tactical shifts announced by either team’s coach, could also influence trader behavior. Finally, major upsets in other recent Serbian SuperLiga matches might shift perceptions of team form and impact the probabilities reflected in this market.