TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?

Volume:
$29,054

Crvena Zvezda

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 2:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Crvena Zvezda

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,840
N/A
N/A
$12,501
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,806
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Radnicki Kragujevac

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,433
N/A
N/A
$3,492
Settled
No
polymarket

FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,969
N/A
N/A
$2,784
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade)

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Serbian SuperLiga soccer match between FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets exist for Radnicki Kragujevac winning, Crvena Zvezda Belgrade winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves 'No' on cancellation, while Kalshi's resolution is silent on this scenario, implying the market remains open or resolves based on the game eventually being played.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers defined risk on this outcome, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours, or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation resolution. Implies the market remains open if the game is postponed or relies on a future result if rescheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Serbia SuperLiga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Radnicki Kragujevac vs Crvena Zvezda professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, while a 'Tie' outcome resolves if the match ends level. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The markets exclusively consider regular-time results, with no account for extra time or penalty phases. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information and potentially offering more efficient pricing. While sportsbooks may adjust odds based on betting volume, this market reflects the collective wisdom of forecasters focused solely on predicting the result. The current volume for this market is $29,054.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, differences in market design, such as the types of contracts offered or the allowed trading strategies, can contribute to price discrepancies. For example, Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders, while Kalshi may have a broader range of participants. These factors can cause the perceived probabilities to vary, even for the same underlying event. The 24-hour volume is currently $26,468.