TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 3:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serbia SuperLiga game between FK Mladost Lucani and FK Radnik Surdulica, originally scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
In the upcoming Serbia SuperLiga game between FK Mladost Lucani and FK Radnik Surdulica, originally scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the probability of an outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and provides a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Serbian SuperLiga match between FK Mladost Lucani and FK Radnik Surdulica, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for either team or a draw – is the accurate result of the game. Traders will then be paid out based on their holdings in the winning outcome’s shares.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Key events include any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff. Unexpected weather conditions that might affect the match quality could also play a role. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns and media coverage, can impact trader behavior and drive price fluctuations. Any significant development related to either team’s performance or the overall competitive landscape of the Serbian SuperLiga could cause the market to adjust its probabilities.