TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FK Mladost Lucani vs. FK Radnik Surdulica
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of FK Mladost Lucani vs. FK Radnik Surdulica?

Volume:
$41,180

Radnik

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 1:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Radnik

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,850
N/A
N/A
$7,933
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FK Radnik Surdulica

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,752
N/A
N/A
$8,478
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FK Mladost Lucani vs. FK Radnik Surdulica)

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mladost Lucani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,281
N/A
N/A
$3,646
Settled
No
polymarket

FK Mladost Lucani

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of a Serbian SuperLiga soccer match between FK Mladost Lucani and FK Radnik Surdulica, scheduled for November 2, 2026. Markets ask whether Mladost Lucani will win, Radnik Surdulica will win, or the game will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed no-result provisions for game cancellations and abandonment, while Kalshi does not explicitly address these scenarios.Hero tip: Polymarket's markets are more susceptible to resolving to 'No' if the game is canceled or significantly delayed. Consider this when comparing probabilities across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". Complex rules govern abandoned games, potentially resolving based on awarded results or the result at the time of abandonment.
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if Mladost Lucani or Radnik wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the game ends in a tie. No explicit rules are provided for cancellations or abandoned games.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Serbia SuperLiga game between FK Mladost Lucani and FK Radnik Surdulica, originally scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Mladost Lucani vs Radnik professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match scheduled for November 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Mladost Lucani secures a victory, the 'Mladost Lucani' market resolves to Yes. If Radnik achieves a win, the 'Radnik' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude with an equal score, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The outcome is strictly based on the result within regular time, with no consideration given to post-match events such as extra time, penalty shootouts, or subsequent replays.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Serbian SuperLiga match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $41,180, with $35,342 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the most likely result lies. The current pricing reflects the collective predictions of participants on both venues, offering a combined perspective on the potential winner of the match. This provides a unique insight beyond individual platform data.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when significant information isn't yet widely reflected in sportsbook lines. The difference can also stem from differing levels of market liquidity and participant expertise.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Serbian SuperLiga. Trading volume can also be unevenly distributed between the two, leading to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery – how traders can buy and sell contracts – differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, influencing how quickly and efficiently information is incorporated into the odds. These nuances contribute to the observed price variations.