TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:32 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FK Macva Sabac and OFK Beograd, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Macva Sabac" if FK Macva Sabac are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "OFK Beograd" if OFK Beograd are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FK Macva Sabac and OFK Beograd, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Macva Sabac" if FK Macva Sabac are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "OFK Beograd" if OFK Beograd are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by what traders believe will happen, creating a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to score first, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially when information isn’t widely available or is mispriced elsewhere.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first in the Macva Sabac vs. OFK Beograd match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions. The current price reflects the aggregated belief of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Macva Sabac vs. OFK Beograd match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on widely accepted football scoring rules and official match data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team's playing style over another. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from football experts and any last-minute lineup announcements could trigger price movements. Even significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected by betting activity, can influence how this market behaves leading up to Oct 17, 2026.