TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:34 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FK Haugesund and Stabaek IF, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Haugesund" if FK Haugesund are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Stabaek IF" if Stabaek IF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FK Haugesund and Stabaek IF, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Haugesund" if FK Haugesund are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Stabaek IF" if Stabaek IF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, Polymarket allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there is strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. It’s common to see this market priced differently than implied probabilities from conventional betting sites, as the crowd's wisdom on Polymarket may diverge from expert analysis or bookmaker adjustments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each team scoring first. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a team will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, offering a unique perspective on the potential outcome of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the FK Haugesund vs. Stabaek IF match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential delays or postponements of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be determined by the official result as reported by recognized sports authorities.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 3, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either FK Haugesund or Stabaek IF would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could trigger increased trading volume and price fluctuations as traders react to new information.