TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:13 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serbia SuperLiga game between FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade and FK Mladost Lucani, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs. FK Mladost Lucani match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serbia SuperLiga game between FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade and FK Mladost Lucani, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs. FK Mladost Lucani match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or changes in team lineups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the Crvena Zvezda vs. Mladost Lucani match. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular score is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Crvena Zvezda vs. Mladost Lucani match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Crvena Zvezda or Mladost Lucani would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also affect trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected by this market.