TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between First Vienna FC 1894 and SK Rapid Wien, scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "First Vienna FC 1894" if First Vienna FC 1894 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Rapid Wien" if SK Rapid Wien are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between First Vienna FC 1894 and SK Rapid Wien, scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "First Vienna FC 1894" if First Vienna FC 1894 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Rapid Wien" if SK Rapid Wien are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and public perception, while this market aggregates insights from individuals directly wagering on the outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of either team scoring first, the odds on Polymarket may diverge. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding real-time developments or less-publicly-known factors influencing the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence of the participants trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Vienna vs. Rapid Wien match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. It’s important to note that any potential delays or postponements of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be determined by the official result of the game.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either First Vienna FC 1894 or SK Rapid Wien would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also cause the market to move. Unexpected announcements regarding team lineups or managerial decisions could also trigger shifts in trader sentiment and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.