TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming women's professional soccer match between two teams competing in Italy's top division. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw within the standard match duration. The resolution depends solely on the result after the full 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the designated Serie A Femminile soccer match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the respective market’s designated team wins or if the match ends in a tie for the Tie market. All markets explicitly exclude outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The governing body’s official result determines market resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo match—whether it’s a win for Fiorentina, a win for Sassuolo, or a tie—will be used to determine the winning contracts. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contracts will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Fiorentina or Sassuolo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or changes in coaching strategies could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve.