TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:03 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Como will win its Serie A soccer match against Fiorentina. Currently, Kalshi gives Como a 66.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 24.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the Fiorentina vs Como professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 18, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the 90-minute window determining the outcome of this market.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Fiorentina vs Como professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Fiorentina wins, the 'Fiorentina' market resolves to Yes. If Como wins, the 'Como' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. All markets exclude extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with Lega Serie A or the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by actual money at stake, tends to aggregate diverse perspectives and can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, particularly when evaluating the potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each possible result, and the current price represents the cost to take a position on a specific outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fiorentina vs Como match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted outcome matches the actual result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any updates that could affect the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting patterns or large trades on Kalshi may indicate informed opinions and lead to price movements. Monitoring sports news, team updates, and the trading volume on Kalshi will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.