TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 3.5 total goals will be scored in the Fiorentina versus Atalanta Serie A soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 3.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether the total goals scored in the match, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, exceeds this threshold, as determined by the official match result. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 29, 2026, with final settlement expected by the resolution date of 2026-10-30.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Fiorentina vs Atalanta professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for Oct 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the aggregate goals surpass specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trading. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the anticipated result, though direct comparisons are not always straightforward.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand within Kalshi, and are not influenced by external factors or other venues.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result—the total number of goals scored in the Fiorentina vs Atalanta match—will be sourced from official match data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the definitive result that will determine the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Fiorentina or Atalanta would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or late-breaking news related to team morale could also cause fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.