TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:51 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate the margin of victory for either Fiorentina or Atalanta in their head-to-head match. Outcomes depend on whether the winning team achieves a victory by a specific goal differential beyond the stated thresholds.
These spread markets resolve based on the outcome of the Fiorentina vs Atalanta professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for Oct 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Fiorentina wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if Atalanta wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. The secondary rule states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading contracts based on their own beliefs. As a result, you may find that prediction market prices offer a different perspective on the probabilities of various outcomes, potentially identifying value where sportsbooks may be less efficient. It's a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Fiorentina vs Atalanta match, specifically the goal spread. The platform will verify the result against trusted sports data sources to determine the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Fiorentina or Atalanta would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also shift the market. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both teams will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move the price of contracts in this market.