TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:19 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game between Finland and Serbia, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Finland vs. Serbia match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game between Finland and Serbia, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Finland vs. Serbia match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable context when evaluating this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic representation of collective belief. The market isn't simply based on statistical models; it’s driven by the real-time decisions of traders responding to news, analysis, and their own insights regarding the Finland vs. Serbia match. This creates a unique and often insightful pricing signal.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Finland vs. Serbia match, specifically the exact score, will be used to determine the winning shares. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure transparency and accuracy. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Polymarket once the event has concluded and the results have been verified. This ensures a fair and reliable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large-volume trades by individual users on Polymarket can create short-term price fluctuations. As the match approaches, any updates related to team form or potential strategies will likely be closely monitored by traders, leading to further adjustments in the odds.