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$154.3b

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$228,458,490

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2,984,028,936

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$1,879,276,037

410,833

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40,345

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4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Finland vs. Serbia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Finland vs. Serbia?

Volume:
$309,799

Finland

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 1:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Finland

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111,227
N/A
N/A
$46,446
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Finland

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,298
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Serbia

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,951
N/A
N/A
$83,975
Settled
No
polymarket

Serbia

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,048
N/A
N/A
$49,818
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Finland vs. Serbia)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a FIFA Women's World Cup Qualifier match between Finland and Serbia scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets exist for Finland winning, Serbia winning, and the game ending in a draw, all determined within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs significantly between platforms. Kalshi resolves all outcomes to 'Yes' upon cancellation, while Polymarket resolves win/draw markets to 'No'.Hero tip: Be aware of the cancellation risk. If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, Polymarket offers a more conservative position on win/draw markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on a win, draw, or loss within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If the game is canceled, the win/draw markets resolve to 'No'. Source: FIFA.com
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on a win, draw, or loss within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If the game is canceled, the market resolves to 'Yes' for all outcomes (Finland, Serbia, Tie).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Finland and Serbia.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Finland vs Serbia professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Finland wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Finland' market resolves to Yes. If Serbia wins under the same conditions, the 'Serbia' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time plus stoppage, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result from the standard match duration and does not account for any post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalties.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of different outcomes for the Finland vs. Serbia match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $309,799, with $304,530 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential results, reflecting the collective predictions of market participants. The dashboard displays probabilities derived from real-time trading activity on each platform, giving a comprehensive overview of expectations surrounding this sporting event. It’s a useful tool for gauging public sentiment and comparing predictions across different venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind them. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets are driven by the wisdom of the crowd. This means that prediction market prices can reflect a more diverse range of information and potentially be more accurate, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds are more readily available and often offer promotional incentives. The current volume on this market is $309,799, showcasing the level of interest and trading activity.