TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:00 AM EST
Predict
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 3 at 9:00 AM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 3 at 9:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd thinks sportsbooks might be mispricing the event, or vice versa.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the crowd. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and reduces the implied probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Finland vs. Albania match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders holding winning contracts will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake. This ensures a transparent and objective settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader trends in international football performance might influence how traders assess the relative strengths of the teams. Monitoring these signals can help you anticipate potential price movements and make informed trading decisions.