TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Finland and Albania. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between Finland and Albania, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Finland" if Finland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Albania" if Albania are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Finland and Albania, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Finland" if Finland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Albania" if Albania are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Finland vs. Albania first goal market can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and predictive insights, influencing trading behavior. Additionally, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform – currently $359 overall – can affect price discovery. Different fee structures and user interface designs may also contribute to these variations. Finally, differing interpretations of available information regarding team form and potential starting lineups can lead to divergent opinions reflected in the prices on each platform.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Finland or Albania would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor one team’s playing style, could also influence the odds. Unexpected tactical announcements from either team’s manager, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could also drive trading activity. Finally, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could all contribute to changes in the probabilities offered in this market.