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410,482

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Finland vs. Albania - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Finland vs. Albania?

Volume:
$359

Albania

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 1:01 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Albania

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ALB

40%
Yes 40¢No 60¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Neither

14%
Yes 14¢No 86¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

FIN

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Finland

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Finland and Albania. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, including the 90-minute timeframe, the 'Neither' outcome, and the hierarchical source prioritization.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, then Sofascore, then consensus reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the outcome.
  • If neither team scores within the specified timeframe, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Postponements result in the market remaining open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellations result in the market resolving to 'Neither'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official final result is available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback data sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Finland and Albania, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Finland" if Finland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Albania" if Albania are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Finland and Albania, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Finland" if Finland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Albania" if Albania are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, however, are driven by individuals wagering their own capital, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to specialized data, this market can sometimes outperform them, especially closer to the event as traders react to news and signals.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Finland vs. Albania first goal market can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and predictive insights, influencing trading behavior. Additionally, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform – currently $359 overall – can affect price discovery. Different fee structures and user interface designs may also contribute to these variations. Finally, differing interpretations of available information regarding team form and potential starting lineups can lead to divergent opinions reflected in the prices on each platform.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Finland or Albania would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor one team’s playing style, could also influence the odds. Unexpected tactical announcements from either team’s manager, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could also drive trading activity. Finally, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could all contribute to changes in the probabilities offered in this market.