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420,368

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40,352

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Finland vs. Albania
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Finland vs. Albania?

Volume:
$3,670,026

Finland

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 11:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Finland

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,395,305
N/A
N/A
$534,680
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Finland

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$614,902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

FIN

View
99%
59%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$13,636
$101,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
1%
30%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$8,834
$55,503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$487,346
N/A
N/A
$257,315
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Finland vs. Albania)

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,663
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

ALB

View
1%
30%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$8,653
$77,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Albania

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$613,916
N/A
N/A
$370,091
Settled
No
polymarket

Albania

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$267,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Finland and Albania, specifically whether Finland will win when they play on October 3, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Finland winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the match itself on October 3, 2026, to see if this consensus holds as the game progresses.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on the core resolution criteria: 90 minutes + stoppage time, postponement continuation, cancellation rules, and a tiered source hierarchy for official results.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the result (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the scheduled completion of the match.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Finland and Albania.

Kalshi

The markets for the Finland vs Albania UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to Finland winning, Albania winning, or the match ending in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The resolution strictly considers regulation time outcomes, with no affiliation to the official governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Finland and Albania.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may incorporate factors like team news and injuries more rapidly, this market benefits from continuous updating as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, leading to varying interpretations of available information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can influence trader behavior. These variations contribute to the discrepancies observed in the probabilities for the Finland vs. Albania match, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.