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Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan
kalshi

What is the result of Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan?

Volume:
$3,977,133

Tom Nolan

 - Kalshi

Tom Nolan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 10:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tom Nolan

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,544,759
N/A
N/A
$1,114,207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Renato Moicano

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,432,374
N/A
N/A
$1,867,848
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Renato Moicano will win his professional MMA fight against Tom Nolan, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Renato Moicano a 72.0% probability of winning, while Tom Nolan is at 28.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the fight as determined by official fight records. Keep an eye on the fight itself, as the market resolves to ‘Yes’ if Renato Moicano wins the bout, with final resolution expected by November 1, 2026, following the conclusion of the event.

Kalshi

Contracts resolve to Yes if the specified fighter wins the bout as scheduled. A draw or no contest results in a $0.50 payout for both markets. Post-expiration result changes, disqualifications, or removals do not affect resolution. If the fight starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active; otherwise, it resolves to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Moicano vs Nolan fight tracks the current odds of each potential outcome, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $3,100,162, and the total volume traded to date, which is $3,869,824. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how actively traders are participating in this market. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the fight will go.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own beliefs and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the fight, though this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Moicano vs Nolan fight, as declared by the relevant governing body. The market will determine which fighter is declared the winner, or if the fight ends in a draw. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.

Several factors could influence this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Pre-fight press conferences, weigh-in results, and analysis from MMA experts can all contribute to changes in market sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns or large volume trades on Kalshi could also signal a shift in expectations, potentially impacting the price of contracts in this market.