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417,059

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5

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Fight Night: Pereira vs Zheleznyakova
kalshi

What is the result of Pereira vs Zheleznyakova?

Volume:
$1,123,960

Alice Pereira

 - Kalshi

Alice Pereira - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 7:27 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alice Pereira

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$879,834
N/A
N/A
$494,746
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Darya Zheleznyakova

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$244,126
N/A
N/A
$213,368
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Alice Pereira or Darya Zheleznyakova will win their professional MMA fight scheduled for October 10, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Alice Pereira a 99.0% probability of winning, while Darya Zheleznyakova is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the fight as determined by official results, according to the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the fight itself on October 10, 2026, as the outcome of that event will directly determine market resolution.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the winner of the Pereira vs Zheleznyakova professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If postponed or delayed, markets stay open until the rescheduled fight finishes within two weeks. A tie or no contest leads to a 50/50 resolution for both fighters. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond two weeks results in a fair price resolution. These products are not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC, and any UFC references are purely descriptive.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Pereira vs Zheleznyakova fight tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the likelihood of different outcomes. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,123,960, and the 24-hour volume is $1,065,948. This allows you to see how actively traders are participating and how sentiment is shifting as new information becomes available. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market’s expectations leading up to the fight.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially diverging from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially causing the prices to move in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the price isn’t set in advance but evolves with each trade.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pereira vs Zheleznyakova fight, as declared by the relevant governing body. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Pereira or a win for Zheleznyakova – occurred according to the official fight results. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.

Several signals could influence this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule adjustments could also have an impact. Public analysis from MMA experts and shifts in betting trends at sportsbooks might also influence trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of either fighter’s chances of winning will likely cause the market to react.