TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Fight Night: Nick Klein vs Joe Kropschot
kalshi
predict

What is the result of Nick Klein vs Joe Kropschot?

Volume:
$521,913

Joe Kropschot

 - Kalshi

Joe Kropschot - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 6:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Joe Kropschot

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$269,349
N/A
N/A
$211,234
Settled
Yes
predict

Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$12,364
$1,740
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nick Klein

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250,825
N/A
N/A
$188,166
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction market asks who will win the MMA fight between Nick Klein and Joe Kropschot at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on October 31, 2026. The market resolves to the fighter officially declared the winner by the UFC, or to a 50-50 split if the fight ends in a draw, no contest, or is canceled/postponed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi only defines resolution for a win by either fighter, lacking the '50-50' resolution clause present in the predict market for draws, no contests, or cancellations.Hero tip: If you anticipate a draw, no contest, or cancellation, the predict market provides a more comprehensive hedging option due to its defined 50-50 resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Resolves to the winning fighter, or 50-50 for draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond November 14, 2026. "This market will resolve to "Joe Kropschot" if Joe Kropschot is officially declared the winner..."
  • kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either fighter wins. "If Nick Klein wins... then the market resolves to Yes." and "If Joe Kropschot wins... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the professional MMA fight between Nick Klein and Joe Kropschot, scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Klein wins, his market resolves to Yes; if Kropschot wins, his market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw or no contest, both markets resolve to $0.50. Post-expiration result changes, disqualifications, or reversals do not affect resolution. If the fight is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the fight is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. Endorsement disclaimers apply regarding Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Joe Kropschot" if Joe Kropschot is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nick Klein at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Nick Klein" if Nick Klein is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Klein vs Kropschot fight. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $521,913, with $513,118 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on each platform. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities derived from the trading activity, offering a dynamic assessment of who is favored to win this matchup. It’s a central location to monitor how opinions shift as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the distinct mechanisms driving price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, this market’s odds are determined by supply and demand – traders buying and selling contracts based on their own beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and incentivize informed trading. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns, which may or may not align with the insights reflected in this market.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Klein vs Kropschot fight. Trading volume can also be unevenly distributed, leading to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the platforms may have different fee structures or liquidity provisions that influence trading behavior. These differences in user composition, volume, and platform mechanics contribute to the observed price variations, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.