TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional MMA fight between two fighters scheduled for October 17, 2026. It determines the winner based on the official result declared at the end of the contest. Outcomes include a win for either fighter, a draw, or a cancellation scenario.
The event resolves based on the official result of the professional MMA fight between Louis Jourdain and Timothy Angel Cuamba scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Jourdain wins, his market resolves to Yes, and Cuamba’s resolves to No, and vice versa if Cuamba wins. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, both markets resolve to $0.50, representing a split payout. Post-expiration result changes, including disqualifications or reversals, do not affect resolution. If the fight is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final outcome. If the fight is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. These markets are independently operated and not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC).
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the two. Often, prediction markets can offer more nuanced probabilities, particularly when there is significant public information available or disagreement among experts regarding the likely result of the Jourdain vs Cuamba fight.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Jourdain vs Cuamba fight. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. Essentially, traders are acting as both market makers and informed speculators, collectively determining the odds.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jourdain vs Cuamba fight as determined by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Louis Jourdain or Timothy Angel Cuamba would likely have a significant impact. Changes in fighter training regimens, pre-fight press conferences revealing strategy, or even shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis could all move the market. Unexpected betting patterns at sportsbooks or analysis of past fight performances could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities and adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.