TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Fight Night: Kareckaite vs Gatto
kalshi

What is the result of Kareckaite vs Gatto?

Volume:
$1,575,960

Ernesta Kareckaite

 - Kalshi

Ernesta Kareckaite - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 7:26 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ernesta Kareckaite

View
50%
2%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$834,204
N/A
N/A
$401,864
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Melissa Gatto

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$741,756
N/A
N/A
$320,716
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Melissa Gatto will win her professional MMA fight against Ernesta Kareckaite. Currently, Kalshi gives Melissa Gatto a 50.0% probability of winning, while Ernesta Kareckaite is at 49.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the Kareckaite vs Gatto fight, as determined by the fight’s governing body, with resolution details outlined in the resolution source. Traders should particularly watch for any announcements regarding the fight schedule, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the bout originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, and will be finalized by the resolution date estimate of 2026-10-11.

Kalshi

These markets resolve according to the winner of the Kareckaite vs Gatto professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. Postponements or delays keep markets open until the rescheduled fight ends within two weeks. A tie or no contest splits the resolution 50/50 between both fighters. If cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, markets resolve at a fair price. These products are not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC, and any mention of UFC-related marks is descriptive only.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Kareckaite vs Gatto fight tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $1,575,960. The 24-hour volume is $1,543,547, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on the fight’s outcome, offering insight into the collective prediction of the crowd.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the fighters’ strengths and weaknesses. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and at a sportsbook, it could signal an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the fight.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kareckaite vs Gatto fight, as declared by the relevant boxing commission or governing body. The market will determine which fighter is declared the winner, or if the fight ends in a draw. The final price of the winning contract will reflect the probability assigned to that outcome by traders leading up to the event.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from boxing experts or shifts in public opinion could also play a role. Furthermore, updates on fighter weight or physical condition leading up to the weigh-in could influence the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market as we approach Oct 11, 2026.