TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:20 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional MMA fighters will face off in a match scheduled for October 10, 2026. The resolution depends on the fight's winner, with specific guidelines for handling delays or contest anomalies.
If Andre Fili wins the Fili vs Kamaka III professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kai Kamaka III wins the Fili vs Kamaka III professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public perception shifts, making this an interesting comparison point for those following the fight.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Fili vs Kamaka fight as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The market will determine which fighter is declared the winner, or if the fight ends in a draw. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and impact volume. Furthermore, analysis from fight experts and updated fight predictions could all contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information available before Oct 11, 2026.