TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Nona Gaprindashvili
- Kalshi
Nona Gaprindashvili - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 14, 2026
Time left: 11d:22h:00m
$
The FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ is a prestigious chess tournament for female players aged 65 and above. Participants compete in a series of matches to determine the champion. The event showcases strategic skill and experience among veteran players from around the globe.
If Nona Gaprindashvili wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marina Aseeva wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Irina Chelushkina wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Galina Strutinskaia wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ligia-Letitia Jicman wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marina Makropoulou wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bagyashree Sathe Thipsay wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tatiana Bogumil wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elena Krasenkowa wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Annett Wagner-Michel wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gudlaug Thorsteinsdottir wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Irina Bulanova wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Margarita Baliuniene wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Larisa Khropova wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mira Kierzek wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Diana Skibbe wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ingrid Lauterbach wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marija Petrovic wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marina Sekhposjan wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aureliana-Eugenia Pancu wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Olga Grigoryeva wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Martine Dubois wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lozanka Nestorova wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Simona Orel Music wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elzbieta Sosnowska wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sigurl. Regina Fridthjofsdottir wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nadezhda Neuymina wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nadezhda Sevastyanova wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Natalia Evtushenkova wins the 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own analysis and to balance their risk, while this market relies on the collective predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it's important to remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting and has its own strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different players winning the Women's Senior Chess Championship. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of that player’s probability of winning. As more people buy contracts for a particular player, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at different price points – also provides insights into the level of conviction behind each prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the FIDE World Senior Championship Women 65+ will be the player officially declared by the tournament organizers. The resolution will be based on the official results published by FIDE, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for other players will not.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding the health or form of key players, such as injuries or recent tournament performances, would likely cause shifts. Unexpected upsets in preliminary rounds or changes in the tournament schedule could also impact predictions. Furthermore, analysis from chess experts and commentators, if it significantly alters perceptions of player strengths, could move the market. Finally, large trading volume on Kalshi for a specific player could indicate informed activity and trigger further price adjustments.