TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Klaus Bischoff
- Kalshi
Klaus Bischoff - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 14, 2026
Time left: 11d:21h:23m
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The FIDE World Senior Championship Open 65+ is an international chess tournament for players aged 65 and above, organized by the world chess federation. Participants compete in a series of matches over several rounds, with the winner determined by their performance across all games. This event showcases strategic depth and endurance among experienced chess masters.
The 2026 FIDE World Senior Championship Open 65+ will follow standard FIDE tournament regulations, including a round-robin or Swiss-system format over 11 rounds, with each player facing multiple opponents. Games adhere to classical time controls (90 minutes per player plus 30-second increment per move), and the winner is determined by total points accumulated. Tiebreaker rules, such as Buchholz scores or head-to-head results, will resolve shared positions. All participants must be verified as 65 years of age or older by the tournament start date. The event will occur between November 3 and November 14, 2026, under FIDE's oversight, with official arbiters and standardized rating procedures applied throughout.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on all sides, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a competitor’s chances. Keep in mind that sportsbooks may also have different incentives and risk tolerances than traders in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, each potential winner of the World Senior Chess Championship. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price means the market believes that outcome is more likely. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and each other’s trades, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the likely winner. This contrasts with fixed-odds betting where prices are set in advance by a bookmaker.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results published by the FIDE (International Chess Federation) for the FIDE World Senior Championship Open 65+ event. The player declared the winner by FIDE will determine the winning contract in this market. The platform will verify the outcome against these official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a clear and definitive result for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the health or form of leading competitors could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected results in qualifying tournaments or preparatory matches could also cause price movements. Major upsets during the championship itself would have an immediate impact, as would any controversies or rule changes affecting the competition. Even expert analysis or commentary from prominent chess figures could sway market sentiment, leading to changes in the odds for various players as the tournament progresses.