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Closed: Oct 31, 1:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns the Eredivisie fixture between Feyenoord and Sittard on October 31, 2026, focusing on whether each team scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Feyenoord and Sittard both score a goal in the Feyenoord vs Sittard Eredivisie match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis for this market, though direct comparisons are not always straightforward.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams to score) or 'No' (one or neither team scores). The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of the outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Feyenoord and Sittard score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams scored, and the result will be publicly available. The market will then settle accordingly, paying out to those who correctly predicted whether both teams would score or not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Late injury reports for key attacking players on either team would likely have a significant impact. News regarding team formations or tactical changes could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, might affect the perceived likelihood of goals being scored. Any significant news related to team morale or recent performance could also move this market as traders react to new information.