TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Inter wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Inter wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 20h:07m:45s
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Feyenoord and Inter, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Bets are settled according to specific goal-difference thresholds for each team.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Feyenoord vs Inter Champions League match scheduled for November 3, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Feyenoord wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Inter wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, all evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and not including extra time or penalties. The resolving entity explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing for a more dynamic assessment of probabilities. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it’s interesting to see if this market agrees, or if traders believe the sportsbook is under or overestimating a particular outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even external factors influencing the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread in the Feyenoord vs Inter match. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to new information and express their beliefs, creating a constantly evolving prediction. This means the price isn’t fixed but rather determined by the collective actions of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Feyenoord vs Inter match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Feyenoord or Inter would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, based on recent match results, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially impacting the style of play and the final spread. Major tactical announcements from either manager, or even significant pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to movement in this market.