TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a major European league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The market will account for potential match disruptions such as cancellations or significant rescheduling.
The event resolves based on the result of the Feyenoord vs Alkmaar professional Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Feyenoord wins, the 'Feyenoord' market resolves to Yes. If Alkmaar wins, the 'Alkmaar' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not include extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or changes in team conditions. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Feyenoord vs Alkmaar match, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating growing confidence in a particular outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Feyenoord vs Alkmaar match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. This includes determining the winning team, or if the match ends in a draw. The platform will then settle all outstanding contracts based on the verified result, ensuring all traders receive the correct payout according to their positions.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the Oct 10, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Feyenoord or Alkmaar would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, or significant tactical changes announced by either manager, could influence the perceived probabilities. Unexpected news or events related to the teams or the league could also cause movement in this market.