TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:02h:12m
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This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ferroviario and Sport Recife in the Brasileiro Serie B league. Participants can speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie based on the full regulation time of the match.
The event involves three possible outcomes for the Ferroviario vs Sport Recife professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for November 6, 2026: Ferroviario win, Sport Recife win, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to one of these outcomes and resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the knowledge of many individuals, creating a “wisdom of the crowd” effect. Sportsbooks may be influenced by factors like biases or attempts to balance their books, whereas this market reflects pure predictions about the outcome. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison, and significant discrepancies may present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top market currently is for Sport Recife winning, though the implied probability can shift rapidly based on trading activity and new information.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ferroviario vs Sport Recife match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The final score and official winner will be used to determine which contracts pay out, and the payout amount will reflect the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or significant changes in player form, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in news articles and social media, can also play a role, though the market tends to be more driven by informed traders than general opinion.