TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Ferroviario and Goias. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Ferroviario and Goias in their Brasileiro Serie B match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout scenarios. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the final goal count surpasses the threshold defined for each market (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Ferroviario vs Goias match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The goal is to converge on a price that accurately reflects the collective belief of the traders regarding the final result.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Ferroviario vs Goias match, as officially recorded by the governing football association, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances after the resolution is complete, based on whether their contracts aligned with the actual total goals scored.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Ferroviario or Goias could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also move the market. Late-breaking team news, such as starting lineups or tactical adjustments, can also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can influence the price, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment regarding the total goals likely to be scored.