TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both Ferroviario and Goias will score at least one goal in their upcoming Brasileiro Serie B match on October 11, 2026. The outcome depends solely on whether each team manages to find the back of the net during regular time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If Ferroviario and Goias both score a goal in the Ferroviario vs Goias Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a large number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing the chance of both teams scoring, they can buy 'yes' contracts, driving up the price and potentially signaling a mispricing. It's common to see prediction market probabilities converge towards what many consider the 'true' probability as the event approaches, though discrepancies can still occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Ferroviario vs Goias match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams finding the net. Conversely, selling 'yes' contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective beliefs of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Ferroviario and Goias score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a reputable sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will settle to 100 if both teams score, and 0 if either team fails to score. Traders holding 'yes' contracts will receive a payout if both teams score, while those holding 'no' contracts will receive a payout if at least one team does not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ferroviario or Goias would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant tactical adjustments announced by either team’s manager could shift expectations. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information.