TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Ferroviario vs Botafogo: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Ferroviario vs Botafogo?

Volume:
$35,595

Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 8:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,452
N/A
N/A
$6,852
Settled
No
kalshi

Ferroviario wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,321
N/A
N/A
$7,839
Settled
No
kalshi

Ferroviario wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,880
N/A
N/A
$7,173
Settled
No
kalshi

Botafogo wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,942
N/A
N/A
$5,209
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ferroviario and Botafogo, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent within the standard match timeframe. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Ferroviario vs Botafogo match scheduled for October 7, 2026, played under Brasileiro Serie B rules. A victory by Ferroviario of more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or a victory by Botafogo of more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, each trigger a specific resolution. The match must conclude within 90 minutes plus any stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. The outcome is determined solely by regular-time scoring margins, with each rule defining a distinct threshold for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Ferroviario vs Botafogo match tracks the current price of contracts representing outcomes in this market. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the price has fluctuated over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $34,569. The total volume traded on this market is $35,595. This allows traders to see how much activity there has been and assess the market's sentiment toward the potential result of the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides of a bet and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when there's strong public opinion or inside information not yet factored into sportsbook calculations.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Ferroviario vs Botafogo match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential result. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ferroviario vs Botafogo match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 8, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Ferroviario or Botafogo could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could impact trading activity and move the market price. Any significant development related to the teams or the match itself has the potential to cause price fluctuations.