TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both Ferroviario and Botafogo will score at least one goal in their Serie B match on October 7, 2026. The outcome depends solely on whether each team manages to find the back of the net during regular time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Ferroviario and Botafogo both score a goal in the Ferroviario vs Botafogo Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring in the Ferroviario vs Botafogo match. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders could potentially profit by exploiting the difference between the two types of odds. However, it's important to remember these are distinct sources of information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Ferroviario and Botafogo will score. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. Conversely, increased selling of 'yes' contracts drives the price down. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Ferroviario and Botafogo score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official result of the match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome is declared. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 8, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ferroviario or Botafogo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or referee assignments might also contribute to price movements, as traders adjust their assessments of the likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net.