TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Ferroviario and Athletic Club Sjdr. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, reflecting the offensive performance of both teams during regulation time.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Ferroviario vs Athletic Club Sjdr professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. It's common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the potential goal count.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation of whether a particular outcome will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated view of the crowd. The market operates much like a stock exchange, with buyers and sellers setting their own prices, and the platform matching orders. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately represent the collective prediction of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Ferroviario vs Athletic Club match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for their contracts after the event concludes and the data is verified. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ferroviario or Athletic Club Sjdr would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports analysts or unexpected lineup announcements could shift market sentiment. A late surge in betting activity based on new information or a change in public perception could also lead to price fluctuations in this market.